[SMM Analysis] Affected by the pullback in nickel prices, the prices of nickel intermediate products have declined.

Published: Aug 1, 2025 16:59
Affected by the pullback in nickel prices, the prices of nickel intermediate products have declined.

Affected by the pullback in nickel prices, the prices of nickel intermediate products have declined somewhat.

This week, in the MHP market, sellers' spot inventory remained at a relatively low level, while there was still restocking demand in the market. Some sellers raised their quotes, and downstream enterprises were relatively cautious in accepting high-priced resources, maintaining a rational purchasing pace. Demand side, this week, downstream refined nickel producers and some traders had restocking demand and made purchases. From the market's transaction performance this week, the MHP coefficient remained stable.

The high-grade nickel matte market presented a "dual weakness and balance" pattern this week. On the supply side, sellers' spot inventory continued to be at a relatively low level, and the amount of resources available for external sales was limited. On the demand side, performance was weak. This week, downstream enterprises' enthusiasm for inquiring about high-grade nickel matte was not high, and the actual purchasing sentiment was weak, resulting in poor overall market activity. The transaction coefficient in the high-grade nickel matte market also remained stable this week.

As a key auxiliary material for the production of nickel intermediate products, sulfur prices rose significantly this week. The main driving factors include two aspects: First, the core downstream sector of sulfur - autumn fertilizer production - entered the fertilizer preparation cycle, with a concentrated release of staged demand, boosting purchasing enthusiasm; Second, international crude oil prices rose due to sentiment boosted by "concerns over Russian supply disruptions." As sulfur is a by-product of refining, its price linkage with the crude oil industry chain strengthened, further supporting the rise in sulfur prices.

This week, LME nickel prices showed a pullback trend, mainly suppressed by two factors: First, the US dollar index continued to strengthen. As a commodity priced in US dollars, nickel prices were directly suppressed by the exchange rate level; Second, LME nickel inventory exceeded 209,000 mt, reaching a staged high, with inventory suppressing nickel price trends.

Affected by the downward transmission of LME nickel prices, the spot price of MHP also fell to a certain extent this week.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
16 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
16 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
16 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
16 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
16 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
16 hours ago